1/2 Is Luck

Main News   •   September 26, 2019
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“How much of a person’s career success is the result of sheer luck? About half, depending on what field you’re in.
Roberta Sinatra at the IT University of Copenhagen, Denmark, and her colleagues set out to measure what role luck and individual ability play in the success of creative works, including films, songs, books and scientific research papers. They used this as a proxy for career success.
The researchers looked at works from more than 4 million people across the publishing, film and music industries, as well as 15 scientific fields.
They quantified impact based on the number of reviews that movies or books had accrued on IMBD or Goodreads respectively, and the number of times songs had been played on LastFM. The team also looked at 87.4 million research papers on the Web of Science database, measuring an article’s impact based on the number of times it was cited within a decade of being published.
By looking at the random fluctuations in the timing and magnitude of successful work, the team was able to come up with a crude estimate of luck different careers typically involve, using a measure called a randomness index, R. An entirely luck-based activity such as roulette would have an R score of 1, for example.”

Around half of your chances of career success comes down to sheer luck | New Scientist

reviewed unto righteousness below

 Here is something else I have learned: The fastest runners and the greatest heroes don’t always win races and battles. Wisdom, intelligence, and skill don’t always make you healthy, rich, or popular.

We each have our share of bad luck.

Ecclesiastes 9:11

Naturally for those following hard after Jesus there is no such thing as “luck.”

Opinion Unto Righteousness
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Those who live according to the sinful nature have their minds set on what that nature desires; but those who live in accordance with the Spirit have their minds set on what the Spirit desires. (Romans 8:5)   Footnote One