Herd Immunity by April

Main News   •   February 20, 2021
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I have argued for months that we could save more American lives if those with prior Covid-19 infection forgo vaccines until all vulnerable seniors get their first dose. Several studies demonstrate that natural immunity should protect those who had Covid-19 until more vaccines are available. Half my friends in the medical community told me: Good idea. The other half said there isn’t enough data on natural immunity, despite the fact that reinfections have occurred in less than 1% of people—and when they do occur, the cases are mild.

But the consistent and rapid decline in daily cases since Jan. 8 can be explained only by natural immunity. Behavior didn’t suddenly improve over the holidays; Americans traveled more over Christmas than they had since March. Vaccines also don’t explain the steep decline in January. Vaccination rates were low and they take weeks to kick in.

My prediction that Covid-19 will be mostly gone by April is based on laboratory data, mathematical data, published literature and conversations with experts. But it’s also based on direct observation of how hard testing has been to get, especially for the poor. If you live in a wealthy community where worried people are vigilant about getting tested, you might think that most infections are captured by testing. But if you have seen the many barriers to testing for low-income Americans, you might think that very few infections have been captured at testing centers. Keep in mind that most infections are asymptomatic, which still triggers natural immunity.

Many experts, along with politicians and journalists, are afraid to talk about herd immunity. The term has political overtones because some suggested the U.S. simply let Covid rip to achieve herd immunity. That was a reckless idea. But herd immunity is the inevitable result of viral spread and vaccination. When the chain of virus transmission has been broken in multiple places, it’s harder for it to spread—and that includes the new strains.

We’ll Have Herd Immunity by April – WSJ

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Hope many used this time of inactivity and turmoil to seek the Lord by further repenting of accumulated sin. At least this is one way I used Washington State’s Governor Jay Robert Inslee’s double-down-dumb ignorant abuse of power to overcome evil with good. Indeed, while Governor Inslee was defrauding Covid funds towards his pet-peeve-buy-a-vote scheme by increasing hatred and division I was repenting of any impurity that God’s grace pointed out.

One of the many things I did was practice the feast of unleavened bread.

Sin has a nasty habit of sneaking in so God directed that a feast of yeast be celebrated. It is a time when one goes through-out the house and the heart looking for small sins. Looking for the small yeast of sins is an impossible task. Imagine going through-out your house looking for one single piece of yeast. It requires the powerful grace of God to look for and spot what is sin that must be swept out of one’s life.

For seven days eat bread made without yeast and on the seventh day hold a festival to the Lord . Eat unleavened bread during those seven days; nothing with yeast in it is to be seen among you, nor shall any yeast be seen anywhere within your borders. (Exodus 13:6-7)

A Johns Hopkins professor and surgeon says that the coronavirus could be “mostly gone” by April.
Johns Hopkins expert says COVID-19 pandemic could end by April

 

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23rd February, Tuesday, 2021, version 2.0.8, 12:52 am

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